{
 "elections": [
  {
   "key": "2015",
   "label": "Diciembre de 2015",
   "day": "2015-12-20",
   "last_poll": "2015-12-19",
   "n_polls": 20,
   "rows": [
    {
     "party": "PP",
     "name": "PP",
     "result": 28.7,
     "average": 27.75,
     "error": -0.95,
     "polls_low": -3.7,
     "polls_high": 1.2
    },
    {
     "party": "PSOE",
     "name": "PSOE",
     "result": 22.0,
     "average": 20.54,
     "error": -1.46,
     "polls_low": -5.0,
     "polls_high": 0.9
    },
    {
     "party": "UP",
     "name": "Podemos / UP / Sumar",
     "result": 20.7,
     "average": 18.35,
     "error": -2.35,
     "polls_low": -5.6,
     "polls_high": 0.8
    },
    {
     "party": "CS",
     "name": "Ciudadanos",
     "result": 13.9,
     "average": 18.38,
     "error": 4.48,
     "polls_low": 1.0,
     "polls_high": 9.3
    },
    {
     "party": "IU",
     "name": "IU",
     "result": 3.7,
     "average": 3.96,
     "error": 0.26,
     "polls_low": -1.0,
     "polls_high": 2.6
    },
    {
     "party": "ERC",
     "name": "ERC",
     "result": 2.4,
     "average": 2.16,
     "error": -0.24,
     "polls_low": -0.7,
     "polls_high": 0.3
    },
    {
     "party": "JXC",
     "name": "Junts (y antes CDC, DiL)",
     "result": 2.2,
     "average": 1.93,
     "error": -0.27,
     "polls_low": -1.0,
     "polls_high": 0.8
    },
    {
     "party": "PNV",
     "name": "PNV",
     "result": 1.2,
     "average": 1.22,
     "error": 0.02,
     "polls_low": -0.5,
     "polls_high": 0.4
    }
   ],
   "right": {
    "result": 28.7,
    "average": 27.75
   },
   "left": {
    "result": 46.4,
    "average": 42.85
   }
  },
  {
   "key": "2016",
   "label": "Junio de 2016",
   "day": "2016-06-26",
   "last_poll": "2016-06-25",
   "n_polls": 21,
   "rows": [
    {
     "party": "PP",
     "name": "PP",
     "result": 33.0,
     "average": 29.85,
     "error": -3.15,
     "polls_low": -5.1,
     "polls_high": -1.1
    },
    {
     "party": "PSOE",
     "name": "PSOE",
     "result": 22.6,
     "average": 21.36,
     "error": -1.24,
     "polls_low": -2.7,
     "polls_high": 1.2
    },
    {
     "party": "UP",
     "name": "Podemos / UP / Sumar",
     "result": 21.2,
     "average": 24.65,
     "error": 3.45,
     "polls_low": 1.2,
     "polls_high": 5.0
    },
    {
     "party": "CS",
     "name": "Ciudadanos",
     "result": 13.1,
     "average": 14.17,
     "error": 1.07,
     "polls_low": -0.6,
     "polls_high": 3.1
    },
    {
     "party": "ERC",
     "name": "ERC",
     "result": 2.7,
     "average": 2.42,
     "error": -0.28,
     "polls_low": -0.6,
     "polls_high": 0.1
    },
    {
     "party": "JXC",
     "name": "Junts (y antes CDC, DiL)",
     "result": 2.0,
     "average": 1.82,
     "error": -0.18,
     "polls_low": -0.4,
     "polls_high": 0.2
    },
    {
     "party": "PNV",
     "name": "PNV",
     "result": 1.2,
     "average": 1.17,
     "error": -0.03,
     "polls_low": -0.3,
     "polls_high": 0.1
    }
   ],
   "right": {
    "result": 33.0,
    "average": 29.85
   },
   "left": {
    "result": 43.8,
    "average": 46.01
   }
  },
  {
   "key": "2019a",
   "label": "Abril de 2019",
   "day": "2019-04-28",
   "last_poll": "2019-04-27",
   "n_polls": 21,
   "rows": [
    {
     "party": "PSOE",
     "name": "PSOE",
     "result": 28.7,
     "average": 28.25,
     "error": -0.45,
     "polls_low": -3.4,
     "polls_high": 2.2
    },
    {
     "party": "PP",
     "name": "PP",
     "result": 16.7,
     "average": 19.59,
     "error": 2.89,
     "polls_low": -1.7,
     "polls_high": 7.1
    },
    {
     "party": "CS",
     "name": "Ciudadanos",
     "result": 15.9,
     "average": 14.86,
     "error": -1.04,
     "polls_low": -3.4,
     "polls_high": 3.0
    },
    {
     "party": "UP",
     "name": "Podemos / UP / Sumar",
     "result": 14.3,
     "average": 14.34,
     "error": 0.04,
     "polls_low": -2.3,
     "polls_high": 2.5
    },
    {
     "party": "VOX",
     "name": "Vox",
     "result": 10.3,
     "average": 11.51,
     "error": 1.21,
     "polls_low": -2.4,
     "polls_high": 4.7
    },
    {
     "party": "ERC",
     "name": "ERC",
     "result": 3.9,
     "average": 3.1,
     "error": -0.8,
     "polls_low": -1.2,
     "polls_high": -0.1
    },
    {
     "party": "JXC",
     "name": "Junts (y antes CDC, DiL)",
     "result": 1.9,
     "average": 1.46,
     "error": -0.44,
     "polls_low": -0.6,
     "polls_high": 0.0
    },
    {
     "party": "PNV",
     "name": "PNV",
     "result": 1.5,
     "average": 1.28,
     "error": -0.22,
     "polls_low": -0.5,
     "polls_high": 0.6
    },
    {
     "party": "BILDU",
     "name": "EH Bildu",
     "result": 1.0,
     "average": 0.83,
     "error": -0.17,
     "polls_low": -0.3,
     "polls_high": 0.0
    }
   ],
   "right": {
    "result": 27.0,
    "average": 31.1
   },
   "left": {
    "result": 43.0,
    "average": 42.6
   }
  },
  {
   "key": "2019n",
   "label": "Noviembre de 2019",
   "day": "2019-11-10",
   "last_poll": "2019-11-09",
   "n_polls": 22,
   "rows": [
    {
     "party": "PSOE",
     "name": "PSOE",
     "result": 28.0,
     "average": 27.45,
     "error": -0.55,
     "polls_low": -2.9,
     "polls_high": 4.2
    },
    {
     "party": "PP",
     "name": "PP",
     "result": 20.8,
     "average": 20.75,
     "error": -0.05,
     "polls_low": -2.7,
     "polls_high": 1.9
    },
    {
     "party": "VOX",
     "name": "Vox",
     "result": 15.1,
     "average": 13.48,
     "error": -1.62,
     "polls_low": -7.2,
     "polls_high": 0.6
    },
    {
     "party": "UP",
     "name": "Podemos / UP / Sumar",
     "result": 12.9,
     "average": 12.59,
     "error": -0.31,
     "polls_low": -3.3,
     "polls_high": 1.7
    },
    {
     "party": "CS",
     "name": "Ciudadanos",
     "result": 6.8,
     "average": 8.77,
     "error": 1.97,
     "polls_low": 0.2,
     "polls_high": 4.0
    },
    {
     "party": "ERC",
     "name": "ERC",
     "result": 3.6,
     "average": 3.73,
     "error": 0.13,
     "polls_low": -1.0,
     "polls_high": 0.8
    },
    {
     "party": "MP",
     "name": "Más País",
     "result": 2.4,
     "average": 3.56,
     "error": 1.16,
     "polls_low": 0.3,
     "polls_high": 2.3
    },
    {
     "party": "JXC",
     "name": "Junts (y antes CDC, DiL)",
     "result": 2.2,
     "average": 1.59,
     "error": -0.61,
     "polls_low": -1.0,
     "polls_high": -0.1
    },
    {
     "party": "PNV",
     "name": "PNV",
     "result": 1.6,
     "average": 1.5,
     "error": -0.1,
     "polls_low": -0.3,
     "polls_high": 0.0
    },
    {
     "party": "BILDU",
     "name": "EH Bildu",
     "result": 1.1,
     "average": 1.04,
     "error": -0.06,
     "polls_low": -0.3,
     "polls_high": 0.5
    }
   ],
   "right": {
    "result": 35.9,
    "average": 34.23
   },
   "left": {
    "result": 43.3,
    "average": 43.6
   }
  },
  {
   "key": "2023",
   "label": "Julio de 2023",
   "day": "2023-07-23",
   "last_poll": "2023-07-22",
   "n_polls": 26,
   "rows": [
    {
     "party": "PP",
     "name": "PP",
     "result": 33.1,
     "average": 34.0,
     "error": 0.9,
     "polls_low": -3.5,
     "polls_high": 4.4
    },
    {
     "party": "PSOE",
     "name": "PSOE",
     "result": 31.7,
     "average": 28.56,
     "error": -3.14,
     "polls_low": -5.4,
     "polls_high": -0.7
    },
    {
     "party": "VOX",
     "name": "Vox",
     "result": 12.4,
     "average": 12.94,
     "error": 0.54,
     "polls_low": -1.3,
     "polls_high": 4.6
    },
    {
     "party": "UP",
     "name": "Podemos / UP / Sumar",
     "result": 12.3,
     "average": 13.24,
     "error": 0.94,
     "polls_low": -1.0,
     "polls_high": 3.8
    },
    {
     "party": "ERC",
     "name": "ERC",
     "result": 1.9,
     "average": 2.16,
     "error": 0.26,
     "polls_low": -0.6,
     "polls_high": 0.8
    },
    {
     "party": "JXC",
     "name": "Junts (y antes CDC, DiL)",
     "result": 1.6,
     "average": 1.94,
     "error": 0.34,
     "polls_low": -0.5,
     "polls_high": 0.8
    },
    {
     "party": "BILDU",
     "name": "EH Bildu",
     "result": 1.4,
     "average": 1.34,
     "error": -0.06,
     "polls_low": -0.4,
     "polls_high": 0.3
    },
    {
     "party": "PNV",
     "name": "PNV",
     "result": 1.1,
     "average": 1.34,
     "error": 0.24,
     "polls_low": -0.4,
     "polls_high": 0.6
    }
   ],
   "right": {
    "result": 45.5,
    "average": 46.94
   },
   "left": {
    "result": 44.0,
    "average": 41.8
   }
  }
 ],
 "sizes": {
  "rms_big": 1.98,
  "rms_mid": 1.9,
  "rms_small": 0.58,
  "fit_a": 0.41,
  "fit_b": 0.0684,
  "n": 42
 },
 "bias": [
  {
   "party": "PSOE",
   "name": "PSOE",
   "mean": -1.37,
   "n": 5,
   "same_sign": true
  },
  {
   "party": "JXC",
   "name": "Junts (y antes CDC, DiL)",
   "mean": -0.23,
   "n": 5,
   "same_sign": false
  },
  {
   "party": "ERC",
   "name": "ERC",
   "mean": -0.19,
   "n": 5,
   "same_sign": false
  },
  {
   "party": "BILDU",
   "name": "EH Bildu",
   "mean": -0.1,
   "n": 3,
   "same_sign": true
  },
  {
   "party": "PP",
   "name": "PP",
   "mean": -0.07,
   "n": 5,
   "same_sign": false
  },
  {
   "party": "PNV",
   "name": "PNV",
   "mean": -0.02,
   "n": 5,
   "same_sign": false
  },
  {
   "party": "VOX",
   "name": "Vox",
   "mean": 0.04,
   "n": 3,
   "same_sign": false
  },
  {
   "party": "UP",
   "name": "Podemos / UP / Sumar",
   "mean": 0.35,
   "n": 5,
   "same_sign": false
  },
  {
   "party": "CS",
   "name": "Ciudadanos",
   "mean": 1.62,
   "n": 4,
   "same_sign": false
  }
 ],
 "blocs": {
  "right": [
   -0.95,
   -3.15,
   4.1,
   -1.67,
   1.44
  ],
  "left": [
   -3.55,
   2.21,
   -0.4,
   0.3,
   -2.2
  ]
 },
 "backtest": [
  {
   "from": "2015",
   "to": "2016",
   "groups": [
    "PP",
    "PSOE",
    "UP",
    "CS",
    "ERC",
    "JXC",
    "PNV"
   ],
   "regional": 0.067,
   "provincial": 0.031,
   "n_regional": 79,
   "n_provincial": 183
  },
  {
   "from": "2016",
   "to": "2019a",
   "groups": [
    "PP",
    "PSOE",
    "UP",
    "CS",
    "ERC",
    "JXC",
    "PNV"
   ],
   "regional": 0.162,
   "provincial": 0.062,
   "n_regional": 78,
   "n_provincial": 183
  },
  {
   "from": "2019a",
   "to": "2019n",
   "groups": [
    "PP",
    "PSOE",
    "UP",
    "CS",
    "VOX",
    "ERC",
    "JXC",
    "PNV"
   ],
   "regional": 0.127,
   "provincial": 0.064,
   "n_regional": 96,
   "n_provincial": 223
  },
  {
   "from": "2019n",
   "to": "2023",
   "groups": [
    "PP",
    "PSOE",
    "UP",
    "VOX",
    "ERC",
    "JXC",
    "PNV",
    "BILDU"
   ],
   "regional": 0.156,
   "provincial": 0.08,
   "n_regional": 81,
   "n_provincial": 181
  }
 ],
 "regional": 0.133,
 "provincial": 0.062
}